Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.327158 1.610478 1.964983 2.450999 3.116281 4.020999 5.393407
2025-01-26 0.998976 1.344068 1.846371 2.673311 4.097865 6.682157 12.459985
2025-02-02 0.808615 1.164275 1.738296 2.820375 5.070408 10.415826 29.064918
2025-02-09 0.667818 1.006072 1.592123 2.811281 5.751723 14.631745 65.542654
2025-02-16 0.561386 0.873034 1.441119 2.713194 6.165744 19.061487 149.379050
2025-02-23 0.499896 0.801891 1.380841 2.779340 7.097043 27.996466 595.345701
2025-03-02 0.457637 0.755668 1.355039 2.915126 8.428494 44.840125 11007.792612
2025-03-09 0.414868 0.699918 1.294206 2.933494 9.408777 66.849263 NaN
2025-03-16 0.371040 0.634756 1.197704 2.812220 9.707763 87.029028 NaN
2025-03-23 0.348906 0.609514 1.186131 2.943120 11.467621 160.942177 NaN
2025-03-30 0.324602 0.576002 1.147533 2.972874 12.805028 283.045592 NaN
2025-04-06 0.297993 0.534057 1.080104 2.878281 13.276313 425.400676 NaN
2025-04-13 0.275644 0.499256 1.026202 2.820341 14.060146 747.431461 NaN
2025-04-20 0.267762 0.495157 1.051141 3.076944 18.160503 5192.461861 NaN
2025-04-27 0.257213 0.483594 1.053820 3.252080 22.366920 558262.118629 NaN
2025-05-04 0.242017 0.459461 1.016894 3.240302 24.595658 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.225493 0.430480 0.961336 3.121299 25.156921 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.215888 0.416842 0.948174 3.201364 29.405832 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.209041 0.409012 0.950864 3.366215 36.641692 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.199560 0.393739 0.928150 3.388556 41.499099 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.187460 0.370909 0.878463 3.241221 41.394786 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.182345 0.365006 0.881526 3.400270 52.277471 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.175312 0.353579 0.864909 3.436494 60.337483 NaN NaN